Factal Forecast

Afghanistan resumes public executions

Published: Dec. 22, 2022

An Afghan man was publicly executed on Dec. 7 in the southwestern Farah province, in the country’s first such instance since the Taliban retook power in August last year. The man executed had been accused of murder and theft in 2017 and was fatally shot by the alleged victim’s father under the supervision of Taliban officials. The execution follows a series of public floggings of both men and women accused of crimes such as adultery and running away from home. Afghan officials decried the subsequent international outcry and defended their stance by saying the execution follows the Islamic law of “qisas” which is interpreted as retributive justice. This allows for a perpetrator to serve punishment for a crime in the same manner as the said crime was committed. An eye for an eye, a tooth for tooth, and a life for a life. 

Watch for:  In the weeks that followed the Taliban’s Kabul takeover last August, the group portrayed itself in a moderate image that promised a departure from its regressive practices, including the ones it utilized while previously in power between 1996 and 2001. These claims of a more moderate rule directly contradict Afghanistan’s reality which has seen a plethora of new restrictions placed on women, including but not limited to a total ban on education. Women are also required to wear head-to-toe clothing in public, are barred from entering gyms and parks and have been restricted from most fields of employment. Nearly a year and half since the takeover, the Afghan Taliban have appeared to drop all pretense of a non-oppressive rule, marking a shift in their governing approach.

Nov. 26  Imran Khan asks supporters to gather in Islamabad  

Published: Nov 24, 2022

Former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan has asked supporters of his party Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) to resume his long march to Islamabad on Saturday after he was shot and injured during a rally earlier this month. 

  • What's happened so far: Khan has called on his supporters to gather in Faizabad on Saturday, an area of Rawalpindi bordering the capital city, where a camp will be set up a day prior for protesters arriving from across the country, according to a senior PTI official. The former premier has announced that he will have a “surprise” for everyone on Sunday, but it remains to be seen what that entails and how that might affect the political future of both the country and Khan himself.
  • The impact: Khan’s relationship with the government continues to remain strained after he accused Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and some other senior officials of an assassination plot following the Nov. 3 shooting attack. This allegation, combined with security concerns, has put Islamabad police on alert for possible closure of all entry points into the capital city to ensure a peaceful rally and avoid repetition of the unrest during PTI’s last long march in May. 

Nov. 20  Nepal elections  

Published: Nov 17, 2022

Nepal will vote on Sunday to elect members of the Federal Parliament and provincial assemblies in only the second general election since the country became a federal republic in 2015. 

  • What's happened so far: Despite an array of independent candidates seeking to leave a mark, the key battle of the election will see the coalition of the ruling party Nepali Congress face off against an opposition coalition led by the Communist Party of Nepal (United Marxist Leninist). The election comes at a crucial time as the country faces a rise in cost-of-living and unemployment, with inflation hitting a 74-month high in September. The final results are expected to be announced by Dec. 8. 
  • The impact: Nepal has seen a rise in independent candidates after a few secured wins in the local elections earlier this year, signifying people’s frustration with established politicians and politics. Despite this growing disillusionment with tradition and renewed fervor for change, experts believe that beyond a few shock victories by independent candidates, the old guard will prevail on Sunday. 

Nov. 16  NASA Artemis I moon mission launch attempt  

Published: Nov 10, 2022

Following a series of delays, NASA is set to launch its Space Launch System rocket and Orion spacecraft for its historic Artemis I mission Wednesday. 

  • What's happened so far: According to NASA, Artemis I is the first in a series of missions “to build a long-term human presence” on the moon. The unmanned mission plans to test the capabilities of the Space Launch System and Orion spacecraft and ensure safety before the first flight with a crew on Artemis II, which will bring humans close to the surface of the moon for the first time since 1972
  • The impact: The Artemis I mission has been marred by several delays due to technical issues and severe weather. The launch, which is set to occur at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, was previously postponed at the end of September due to Hurricane Ian, with this week's Hurricane Nicole causing yet another delay. A successful launch Wednesday will see an expected splashdown on Dec. 11, marking the first step towards landing humans back on the moon.

Nov. 8  ASEAN summits in Cambodia  

Published: Nov 3, 2022

Cambodia is set to host world leaders in Phnom Penh on Tuesday for the ASEAN summits and related meetings, with the Myanmar crisis likely one of the central topics.

  • What's happened so far: The summits come after concerns over continued violence in Myanmar and the efficacy of the peace process prompted an emergency meeting of ASEAN countries in Indonesia last week. Human Rights Watch has called on all attendees of the upcoming summits in Asia to support tougher sanctions "and other measures” to address abuses by the Myanmar junta, whose leader was not invited to the meeting of the 10-country bloc. In addition, Cambodia also offered to host talks between Russia and Ukraine during the summit, though neither have accepted. 
  • The impact: It's a crucial point for the bloc, which has recently faced criticism over its approach to resolving the conflict in Myanmar and ending its brutal military crackdown. U.S. President Joe Biden is expected to attend as America seeks to reaffirm its commitment to the Southeast Asian region in a burgeoning political tug of war with China.

Oct. 28   Pakistan’s PTI begins long march

Published: Oct 27, 2022

Imran Khan, Pakistan’s former prime minister and chairman of the PTI party, will lead his supporters on an anti-government protest march from Lahore beginning Friday to call for early elections.

  • What's happened so far: The march comes a week after the former premier was disqualified from his parliamentary seat after Pakistan’s election commission found him guilty of selling gifts received from foreign dignitaries while in office, resulting in nationwide protests. Set to begin at 11 a.m. local time the march will lead Khan and his supporters through a number of cities before its anticipated arrival in Islamabad on Nov. 4. 
  • The impact: Since being ousted as prime minister through a no-confidence motion in April, Khan and his supporters have led a large number of rallies and protests across the country, often calling for snap elections. Though Khan has promised a peaceful march, concerns over security remain, resulting in the deployment of over 13,000 police officers in and around the capital city. 

Oct. 27  ASEAN foreign ministers emergency meeting  

Published: Oct 27, 2022

Southeast Asian foreign ministers will hold an emergency meeting in Jakarta, Indonesia, on Thursday to discuss the Myanmar peace process.

  • What's happened so far: The meeting comes just a few days after opposition groups claim a military air strike killed dozens at a concert in Myanmar's northern state of Kachin. Recommendations on next steps in the peace process are set to be discussed in the meeting, with the 10-country bloc looking specifically at the five-point plan from April 2021 that sought to end the violence in Myanmar.
  • The impact: The conflict-torn country has been plunged in violence since last year’s coup ousted the elected government of Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi and led to a military crackdown that has left thousands killed so far. With little progress in the peace process, the meeting will judge whether new changes or approaches are required to address the conflict ahead the ASEAN summit next month.

Oct. 22  China’s Communist Party National Congress wraps up  

Published: Oct 20, 2022

China’s 20th Communist Party Congress will come to an end Saturday, with leader Xi Jinping poised to serve a third five-year term.

  • What's happened so far: In a two-hour speech Sunday, Xi laid out the Communist Party’s agenda for the country over the next five years. The speech touted China’s battle against coronavirus through its “zero-Covid” policy and its role in taking control of the situation in Hong Kong, which saw anti-government protests in 2019. Xi also expressed that China will never renounce the right to use force when it comes to Taiwan but will strive for a peaceful resolution.  
  • The impact: The week-long session comes as the country faces an economic toll from its coronavirus response and increasingly tense relations with the United States and the West over Taiwan. Despite this, the session’s theme appeared to be one of continuity, not change, as exemplified by Xi’s anticipated third term.

Oct. 14  Burkina Faso national meeting  

Published: Oct 13, 2022

Burkina Faso will pick a transitional president during national meetings beginning Friday following the country’s second coup this year.

  • What's happened so far: Burkina Faso was thrust again into political unrest on Sept. 30 after a group of officers removed interim President Paul-Henri Sandaogo Damiba, who took power during a coup in January this year. Army Captain Ibrahim Traore now holds the position until the new head of state is chosen in the meetings this weekend.
  • The impact: Traore had previously promised to organize elections to return a civilian government to the country by July 2024, but concerns remain over speculation that he will work closely with Russia, raising questions about its growing influence in the West African country amid weakening ties with France.

Aug. 31  Pakistan's Khan summoned to court   

Published: Aug 25, 2022

Former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan has been summoned to appear in court Tuesday to respond to contempt charges connected to threats he made to a local judge during a rally last weekend. 

  • What's happened so far: The former premier was charged under the country’s anti-terrorism legislation Sunday following a rally in Islamabad against the recent arrest of one of his top aides. During the rally, Khan alleged his aide was tortured while in detention and threatened legal action against senior police officers and a judge involved in the arrest. The police report described his actions as a deliberate attempt at intimidating Pakistani judiciary and law enforcement.  
  • The impact: Khan has been granted protective bail until Thursday. His party, PTI, also faces a ban from the country’s media watchdog on live broadcasts of Khan’s rallies. Despite this apparent crackdown, Khan’s supporters have vowed to stand by his side — raising concerns for civil unrest if he is arrested — as the country's months-long power struggle escalates. A conviction for Khan would result in a lifetime ban from Pakistani politics.

Aug. 20  Greece to exit EU's 'enhanced surveillance' framework   

Published: Aug 18, 2022

The European Commission will cease years-long surveillance of the Greek government’s budget Saturday, effectively marking an end to the country's debt crisis. 

  • What's happened so far: Greece lost access to the international bond markets in 2010 after admitting it misreported financial key data and its debt grew to nearly double the GPD. After three bailouts by the International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank — the final formally ending in 2018 — Greece introduced deep economic reforms. Now the European Commission says the “enhanced surveillance is no longer justified" after the Greek economy improved. 
  • The impact: Greece’s credit rating remains below investment grade, raising its borrowing costs, despite its return to international bond markets. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis has pledged to remain within fiscal targets in hopes to regain investment grade status by early 2023.

Pakistan flooding

Published: July 28, 2022

Hundreds of people have been killed in Pakistan since mid-June as unusually heavy monsoon rains continue to lash large parts of the country, leaving some of its largest cities, especially Karachi, paralyzed in their wake. Outside of Karachi, which has seen at least 31 people killed so far, the country’s Baluchistan province remains the worst affected with more than 100 people killed and thousands of structures damaged or destroyed since the beginning of the monsoon season.. 

Watch for: Residents in the worst-hit cities have criticized the government for its lackluster response in dealing with the monsoon season that brings devastating rains to the country each year. Officials cited climate change as the biggest factor in the widespread damage caused by these torrential rains, which continue to intensify each year. Meanwhile, experts believe other factors like lack of emergency preparedness and poor urban planning also play a role. Above normal rainfall is expected to continue across the country throughout the season, which usually occurs between June and September, but weather authorities forecast a drier season during its second half beginning on Aug. 15. 

July 24  Pope Francis to visit Canada    

Published: July 21, 2022

Pope Francis will begin his week-long visit to Canada on Sunday as a “pilgrimage of penance” for abuses toward the country’s indigenous people.

  • What's happened so far: This is the first trip the pope will take after suffering from a knee injury that prompted the cancellation of a trip to Democratic Republic of Congo and South Sudan earlier this month. The pope is scheduled to deliver nine homilies and addresses and celebrate two Masses as he visits Edmonton, Maskwacis, Lac Ste. Anne, Quebec and Iqaluit. 
  • The impact: The trip comes after last year’s discovery of the remains of more than 200 indigenous children at a former state-sanctioned school run by the Catholic Church. These state-sanctioned schools operated between 1831 and 1996 saw thousands of Indigenous children taken from their homes, with many subjected to abuse, rape and malnutrition. Through this trip, which includes apologies during at least five encounters with the country’s native people, the pope hopes to help heal the “evil” committed against Canada’s Indigenous population.

June 20 Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting in Rwanda

Published: June 16, 2022

The Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting will begin in Rwanda’s capital Kigali on Monday after being postponed twice due to the coronavirus pandemic. 

  • What's happened so far: Held biennially, delegations from 54 countries across the world attend the CHOGM, which this year aims to discuss the theme “Delivering a Common Future: Connecting, Innovating, Transforming.” The meetings are scheduled for the weekend and will be preceded by a number of forums convened by youth and gender activists, business leaders and civil representatives. 
  • The impact: The meeting comes amid a diplomatic row with neighboring Democratic Republic of Congo over allegations of renewed violence as well as asylum plan tensions with the United Kingdom. Rwanda, for its part, has stressed its readiness to host the meeting, which enables President Paul Kagame to showcase his importance in diplomatic networks and showcase his soft power. 

June 2  Queen’s Platinum Jubilee    

Published: May 26, 2022

The United Kingdom will enter a four-day bank holiday beginning Thursday to commemorate Queen Elizabeth’s Platinum Jubilee. 

  • What's happened so far: On Feb. 6, the queen became the first British monarch to reach 70 years on the throne, but the celebrations were moved to the first week of June due to the anniversary of her father’s death falling on the same day. The celebrations will result in a four-day weekend and are set to include a Trooping the Colour birthday parade, a thanksgiving service at St. Paul’s Cathedral and the derby at Epsom Downs.  
  • The impact: The jubilee comes amid concerns over the queen’s health and “episodic mobility issues,” leading to her skipping the Trooping the Colour parade. Though she is expected to make an appearance at the other events, including the balcony flypast at Buckingham Palace, it is unclear how many of the jubilee events the 96-year-old will attend. 

May 5  OPEC+ meeting  

Published: April 28, 2022

Members of OPEC+ will gather virtually next Thursday for its 28th meeting to discuss possible changes to oil output amid warnings of a coming oil supply crunch. 

  • What's happened so far: Oil prices remain at a near all-time high worldwide due in part to sanctions introduced against Russia over the war in Ukraine. While the United States and the International Energy Agency have both made repeated requests for OPEC+ to pump more oil to offset high prices, the group has resisted, opting instead for a modest raise of just 432,000 barrels per day beginning in May.
  • The impact: OPEC+ has maintained that current volatility in prices “is not caused by fundamentals, but by ongoing geopolitical developments,” with the group’s top diplomat telling the E.U. that Russia oil losses are beyond its control. With the United States already dipping into its strategic oil reserves, analysts believe Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are the only nations with the ability to add significant enough amounts of additional oil. 

April 17  PTI announces rally in Karachi  

Published: April 17, 2022

The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party will hold a rally at Jinnah Mausoleum in the heart of Karachi on Sunday, with ousted Prime Minister Imran Khan set to be in attendance. 

  • What's happened so far : The party announced the rally after resigning en masse from the National Assembly moments before the opposition’s Shehbaz Sharif was elected as the 23rd prime minister of the country. The rally will be the latest among a series of mass protests across the country since parliament voted to remove Khan from office. 
  • The impact: Though the opposition was ultimately successful in its efforts to oust Khan, countrywide protests point to large public support and loyalty toward the former prime minister. With PTI’s mass resignations from the National Assembly, the political future of Khan's party is unclear.

March 25  No-confidence vote against Pakistani PM

Published: March 24, 2022

Pakistani National Assembly will convene for a special session Friday to vote on the motion of no confidence against Prime Minister Imran Khan. 


Motion of no confidence against Pakistani prime minister

Published: March 17, 2022

Last week, Pakistan’s opposition, led by Pakistan People’s Party (PPP), submitted a motion of no confidence against Prime Minister Imran Khan, accusing him of mismanaging the economy amid high inflation and depleting foreign reserves. The move came after Khan’s refusal to resign, a demand put forth by the PPP at the end of its long march in Islamabad on the same day. The opposition now requires a simple majority of 172 votes in the National Assembly to oust the premier. While the opposition claims it will have the required votes, Khan, who voluntarily sought a no-confidence vote from the National Assembly in March 2021 and won, remains confident. 

Watch for: Though the rules of the no-confidence motion require a National Assembly session to be convened within 14 days, PTI Senator Faisal Javed announced the vote will take place after the premier addresses a rally in Islamabad on March 27. Only two other Pakistani premiers have faced a no-confidence motion, with no prime minister in the country’s history ever removed from office through this process. If the motion passes, the National Assembly will be tasked with voting in a new premier, a year before the country’s next general elections

March 5  Austria lifts most coronavirus restrictions, Bulgaria eases rules

Published: March 3, 2022

Austria and Bulgaria will ease certain coronavirus restrictions Saturday, with the former set to scrap most of them. 

Jan. 31  Indian parliament budget session

 Published: Jan. 27, 2022

The 2022 budget session of the Parliament of India is set to begin Monday, as a third wave of coronavirus threatens the nation's economy.

  • What's happened so far: The first part of the parliament's budgetary session will run through Feb. 11, with the second part set to be held March 14, after a month-long recess. The Economic Survey — a report on the state of the economy over the past year, the key challenges anticipated for the year ahead and their possible solutions — will be presented Monday, with Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s Union Budget presentation scheduled for the following day
  • The Impact: The budget session comes as the country battles the third wave of coronavirus and the impact of the omicron variant will be among the biggest factors discussed. With the rise of cases within the parliament, proof of vaccination as well as a negative test is required for every attendee.

Jan. 23  Foreign troops to leave Kazakhstan

Published: Jan. 20, 2022

The Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) forces are set to complete their withdrawal from Kazakhstan by Sunday after being deployed earlier this month in response to nationwide protests. 

  • What's happened so far : Russian officials said they would pull all of their troops from Kazakhstan by midweek, while Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev said no foreign troops will remain in the country after Sunday. The withdrawal began last Thursday after what Kazakh officials called the completion of an “anti-terrorist operation” following violent protests across the country. 
  • The impact : The United States criticized the deployment as a potential overreach in Russia’s influence over the region, but Tokayev said involving CSTO troops was justified. Russian President Vladimir Putin, on his part, praised the troops, saying the practice of “using our armed forces will be studied further.” 

Jan. 18  Oakland, Calif., student protest over coronavirus safety

Published: Jan. 13, 2022

Students at California’s Oakland Unified School District (OUSD) say they will not attend school starting Tuesday if demands for increased coronavirus protocols or a shift toward online learning are not met. 

  • What’s happened so far: In an online petition, students call for outdoor eating areas, KN95 masks for every student and weekly PCR and rapid tests. Students said they will begin protesting Tuesday by not going to school and will gather outside the OUSD office starting Jan. 21 until their conditions are met.
  • The impact: More than 900 students across the district’s 87 schools have signed the petition. OUSD officials said they are working to meet the students’ requests, but supply chain issues have slowed that process. Last Friday, 12 schools across the district were forced to close when approximately 500 teachers called out of work in protest.

Jan. 7  London Underground strike over Night Tube 

Published: Nov. 11, 2021

London Underground drivers are set to go on strike every weekend for six months beginning Friday due to disputes over new Night Tube schedules. 

  • What's happened so far: The longest strike action ever announced by the National Union of Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers (RMT) follows months of unsuccessful talks over the new Transport for London (TfL) schedules. Union chiefs say requiring all drivers to work four night weekend shifts a year would disrupt the work-life balance of staff that normally work days. Officials at the London Underground, on the other hand, said the new rota is “fair and reasonable” and urged the RMT to call off the “disproportionate” strike action that would hinder economic recovery. The RMT already staged a 24-hour walkout on Nov. 26 that disrupted six lines throughout the day, as well as weekend strikes in December. 
  • The impact: The TfL revived the Night Tube in November after suspending it in 2020 due to coronavirus, but it now runs less frequently, with extra staff occasionally positioned on platforms due to overcrowding. The RMT accused the London Underground of ignoring “cost neutral proposals” to resolve the dispute but says it remains “available for further talks.” 

Dec. 20  Kazakhstan holds talks on Syria

Published:  Dec. 16, 2021

Kazakhstan will host representatives from the Syrian government and opposition, along with delegations from Turkey, Russia and Iran, in its capital of Nur-Sultan on Tuesday for a new round of Astana talks. 

  • What’s happened so far: The talks began in January 2017 with a goal to work toward a lasting ceasefire agreement in Syria through the creation of de-escalation zones. Tuesday's meeting will be the 17th round of talks, with observer delegations from the United Nations, Jordan, Lebanon and Iraq also expected to attend. The talks are expected to last two days with a focus on maintenance of peace in the de-escalation zones as well as the future of the Syrian Constitutional Committee in Geneva.
  • The impact: After an announcement and subsequent retraction of a potential breakthrough in talks between Syria’s regime and opposition in October, some analysts say the Astana talks have come at the expense of the Constitutional Committee. Similarly, observers maintain that the Astana talks will continue to be unfruitful, putting the success of this week’s meeting into doubt

Nov. 28  Kyrgyzstan parliamentary elections

Published: Nov. 25, 2021

Kyrgyz citizens will head to polls Sunday to elect a new parliament, nearly 14 months after the October 2020 uprising over fraud in the national elections.

  • What's happened so far: An April 2021 national referendum on constitutional amendments resulted in a series of changes to Kyrgyzstan’s current electoral system. The changes, which came after the election of President Sadyr Japarov, followed months of political wrangling amid the protests over the October 2020 parliamentary elections results. The reforms include a reduction in the number of parliamentarians from 120 to 90, with some candidates competing in districts, while others compete on national party lists. Twenty-one parties have remained in the elections and a “most likely” win by pro-government parties — Ata Just Kyrgyzstan and Ishenim — will further legitimize Japarov’s administration.
  • The impact: Japarov, a former political prisoner, was freed during the unrest last fall. He rose to power soon after, but his administration has faced scrutiny ever since. Changes under the new electoral system have prompted accusations of foul play. Even with voter exhaustion and a “sluggish” campaign cycle, the election results will provide insight on the efficacy of Kyrgyzstan’s post-turmoil political system. 

Nov. 23  89th General Assembly of Interpol in Turkey

Published: Nov. 18, 2021

Chiefs of police and senior officials from around the world will convene in Istanbul on Tuesday for the 89th Interpol General Assembly. 

  • What’s happened so far: Initially scheduled to be held in the United Arab Emirates in December 2020, the annual meeting was postponed after the executive committee determined that a virtual meeting due to coronavirus would be “materially impossible.” Though Turkey was among the founding members of Interpol, its deputy foreign minister has said that the country’s relations with Interpol “are not at the desired level” due to the agency's reluctance to cooperate after the July 2016 coup attempt. As the host of the assembly, the country now hopes to gain “international visibility in the fight against global terrorism and cross-border crime.” 
  • The impact: The two-day meeting this year will feature the election of a majority of Interpol’s executive committee, including a new president, replacing South Korea’s Kim Jong Yang. Elections will also elect seven new members of the Commission for the Control of Interpol’s Files, set to take office in March 2022. A senior Chinese official’s interest in being elected to the Interpol’s executive committee has sparked international concerns of possible misuse by the country to track down overseas dissidents. 

Nov. 14  Bulgaria elections

Published: Nov. 11, 2021

Bulgarian citizens will vote again Sunday after two inconclusive general elections in April and July. 

  • What's happened so far: The earlier two elections nearly ended the power hold of Bulgaria’s center-right GERB party after almost a decade, but political disputes between its opponents prevented them from forming a government. Though GERB leads the polls in the upcoming election, none of the six parties expected to win seats are likely to secure a majority, leading to difficult coalition talks after the election. In the presidential elections, polls show incumbent President Rumen Radev is expected to remain in power, with the closest challenger being Anastas Gerdjikov, who is backed by the GERB party. 
  • The impact: The coronavirus pandemic recovery is one of the biggest issues going into this election, with growing concerns about the rising cost-of-living and general quality of life. GERB has faced criticism over corruption, something other parties have focused on in previous elections. But the party has been able to capitalize on concerns about the pandemic response and high energy costs to maintain support going into this election.

Nov. 10  Auckland reopens retail and entertainment

Published: Nov. 4, 2021

Auckland, New Zealand, will begin easing its coronavirus lockdown at midnight Tuesday. 

  • What's happened so far: Parts of Waikato, New Zealand, were already downgraded to “step 2” of the country’s three-level lockdown tier this past Tuesday, and Auckland is set to follow. Despite surpassing record-high numbers of cases last week, Prime Minister Jacinda Arden said high rates of vaccination in Auckland allow the country to “move with greater confidence.” More than 75 percent of eligible people have been fully vaccinated in New Zealand, and 88 percent have received the first dose. 
  • The impact: The step 2 phase of Alert Level 3 will reopen retail and public facilities like museums and libraries, with social distancing and mask guidelines in place. The two-household restriction on outdoor gatherings will also be lifted, allowing outdoor organized events to expand to 25 people. 

Nov. 3  Nordic Council summit in Copenhagen

Published: Oct. 28, 2021

Members of the Nordic Council will gather in Copenhagen on Monday for the 73rd session of the four-day Nordic Council Summit. 

  • What's happened so far: While the summit was held digitally last year due to the coronavirus pandemic, prime ministers from all member states are expected to attend in-person this year. The summit is focused around coronavirus, specifically what the Nordic Region can learn from the crisis and how to strengthen cooperation in the future. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg is expected to attend as the international guest speaker. The Nordic Council has prepared a list of proposals for the prime ministers in attendance for better crisis coordination, including a new Nordic agreement on emergency preparedness cooperation which will culminate in a uniform or joint crisis preparedness law. 
  • The impact: The summit’s topic on coronavirus and crisis-preparedness aims to address the concerns of the citizens of Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, the Farce Islands, Greenland and the Aland Islands. A recent report by the Nordic Council shows that people of the region have positive attitudes toward cooperation between member states, but a huge number of them were disappointed with the lack of a region-wide coronavirus strategy. 

Oct. 24  Uzbekistan presidential elections

Published: Oct. 21, 2021

Uzbek citizens will head to polls Sunday to vote for a president in the country’s first election since incumbent President Shavkat Mirziyoyev was appointed in September 2016. 

  • What's happened so far: All five political parties — the Ecological, National Revival Democratic, Liberal Democratic, People’s Democratic and Justice Social Democratic — have registered candidates for the election, but incumbent Mirziyoyev of the Liberal Democratic Party is expected to win in a landslide. Uzbekistan has received international recognition for improvements in its authoritative governments since the 2016 death of former President Islam Karimov, who ruled the nation and its predecessor state since 1989. There is little room, however, for any meaningful political opposition in the country. Virtually no new political parties were registered in the polls during the 2019 parliamentary elections despite the government’s “New Uzbekistan-New Elections” tagline. 
  • The impact: Despite claims of commitment to a pro-democracy election, the Uzbek government prevented two candidates from running through independent, unregistered parties. Russia, meanwhile, recently praised President Mirziyoyev for development of Russian-Uzbek relations, including the strengthening of the Russian language in the country.

Oct. 8  Czech parliamentary elections

Published: Oct. 7, 2021

Voters in the Czech Republic will head to polls Friday to elect all 200 members to the Chambers of Deputies, with the leader of the winning party set to become the country’s next prime minister.

  • What's happened so far: Current Prime Minister, Andrej Babiš of the populist ANO party, leads the polls with 27 percent, with the center-right coalition SPOLU and the liberal-progressive Pirate Party being the most formidable opponents. Other parties represented in this election include the anti-immigration SPD party, Social Democrats and the Communist Party, with the latter two expected to not win any seats. Though President Milos Zeman has said he will appoint the leader of the winning party as prime minister, analysts expect Babiš will likely be appointed again as Zeman does not recognize the opposing coalitions as political subjects. 
  • The impact: Despite differences on many issues, including climate change and same-sex marriage, opposition coalitions all support EU and NATO membership. Babiš may have an option to form a coalition either with the Communist or the SPD party, the latter of which remains the most anti-migrant and anti-EU party. Babiš, meanwhile, is facing new allegations that he owns offshore accounts following the recent Pandora Papers leak.

Oct. 1  Portugal lifts coronavirus restrictions

Published: Sept. 30, 2021

Portugal is set to lift nearly all remaining coronavirus restrictions on Friday, as the country with the world's highest vaccination rate

  • What's happened so far: In July 2021, the government announced a three-phase plan to ease coronavirus restrictions. In August, localized curfews ended, allowing restaurants, stores and cultural venues to remain open till 2 a.m. In September, outdoor mask mandates ended and the number of people present in public events was increased to 75 percent capacity. Now, with more than 80 percent of the population vaccinated, the country will allow full occupancy in restaurants and cultural venues, and nightclubs and bars will reopen for the first time since March 2020.
  • The impact: Vaccine certificates or a proof of negative test result will still be required for air or sea travel, major cultural or sporting events and at nightclubs and bars, but they will not be mandatory in hotels and gyms. As Portugal enters this new phase, Prime Minister Antonio Costa in a news conference reminded citizens of their personal responsibility, adding that “the pandemic is not over.”

Oct. 1  Expo 2020 in Dubai

Published: Sept. 23, 2021

The coronavirus-delayed Expo 2020 world fair, set in Dubai, is set to open doors Friday to exhibitors from approximately 200 countries.

  • What’s happened so far: The expo was initially set to begin in October 2020 but was delayed by a year due to the coronavirus pandemic. Now, with just a few days till the start date, the United Arab Emirates is reporting its fewest daily coronavirus cases in a year, prompting the easing of mask requirements in many public places. With nearly 25 million visits expected over six months, coronavirus vaccination certificates or proof of negative test will be required to enter the event.
  • The impact: Through its theme “Connecting Minds and Creating the Future,” the expo aims to create space to discuss issues of climate change, conflict and economic growth. However, the expo faced controversy recently when the European Parliament urged its member states to boycott the event, citing “systematic persecution of human rights defenders, journalists, lawyers and teachers speaking up on political and human rights issues in the UAE.” Though Dubai officially expects 25 million visits over six months, travel restrictions will likely impact those projections. 

Sept. 13  Norway Parliamentary Elections

Published: Sept. 9, 2021

Norway will head to the polls Monday to elect members to all 168 seats in Storting, the country’s supreme legislature. 

  • What’s happened so far: Prime Minister Erna Solberg of Norway’s Conservative Party is up for reelection after serving two consecutive terms since 2013. Though her administration was hailed by many for its response to the coronavirus pandemic, recent polls predict victory for the Labour Party, with Jonas Gahr Støre expected to become the new prime minister. The Labour Party is on course to return the worst individual results since 1924, however, it is expected to form a center-left coalition with the Socialist Left, and Center parties, giving them the majority. 
  • The impact: A center-left majority government would be the first time since 2013 that the Conservative party will not be in power in Norway. Climate change surfaced as a key issue in recent weeks, and it’s an issue the Labour and Socialist Left remain divided on with Labour supporting continued petroleum exploration and Socialist Left opposing it. The Socialist Left and the Center parties, meanwhile, are both opposed to the current European Economic Area membership, bringing Norway’s relationship with the rest of Europe to the forefront in this election as well. 

Sept. 10  Denmark lifts all coronavirus restrictions

Published: Sept. 2, 2021

Denmark is set to lift all domestic coronavirus-related restrictions beginning next Friday.

  • What’s happened so far: The Danish government has decided not to extend the categorization of coronavirus as a “socially critical disease,” in place since March 2020. This categorization gave the government power to introduce special restrictions, including closure of buildings, assembly bans, and coronavirus vaccine passport requirements. In a news release, Danish Minister of Health Magnus Heunicke said that the pandemic is “under control” due to high vaccination rates, adding that despite being in a good place “the government will not hesitate to act quickly” if things change. More than 70 percent of the Danish population is now fully vaccinated. 
  • The impact: Though many restrictions were slowly lifted over the past few weeks, proof of vaccination or a negative test is still required to enter many public places. After the Sept. 10 downgrade of the coronavirus classification, proof of vaccination or a negative test will no longer be required. 


Sept. 1  Russia-led CTSO holds drills in Kyrgyzstan 

Published:  Aug. 26, 2021

The Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization is set to hold drills intended to quell potential security threats from Afghanistan amid the Taliban takeover. 

  • What’s happened so far: Taliban’s takeover of Russia has caused concern among Russia and its Central Asian allies, despite assurances from Taliban that the situation in Afghanistan did not threaten the countries. The CTSO serves as a military alliance between Russia and selected post-Soviet republics. Earlier this month, troops from Russia also joined Uzbekistan and Tajikistan - both members of the CTSO - in holding drills near the Afghanistan border. The drills in Kyrgyzstan are set to take place between Sept. 1 and Sept. 9. 
  • The impact: The Taliban now control Afghanistan’s border with Tajikistan and Uzbekistan and with the US troops set to exit Kabul by Aug. 31, Russia is looking to strengthen its security in the region. Despite assurances and a relatively moderate front by the Taliban during the takeover, Kyrgyzstan has faced terrorism threats from Afghanistan in the past. Kyrgyzstan is part of the Commonwealth of Independent States.

TRT World Daily News Scripts

Kaepernick inspires anti-Nike videos

Sept 5, 2018

Some Nike customers are posting videos of themselves destroying their Nike products after Nike announced Colin Kaepernick as the face of its 30th anniversary ‘Just Do It’ campaign. Kapernick first sparked controversy in 2016 when he protested police brutality and racism by kneeling down during the national anthem. He is currently suing the NFL for conspiring to keep him off the field because of his protests. 

Arif Alvi elected as President of Pakistan

Sept 4, 2018

Arif Alvi has been elected the 13th President of Pakistan. Alvi’s political career spans over five decades, starting with a student movement fighting for democracy against General Ayub Khan’s military regime. He is considered to be one of the founding members of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf along with now Prime Minister Imran Khan. He was first elected into the national assembly in the general elections held in July earlier this year.

Dam overflow in Myanmar causes mass evacuations

Sept 2, 2018 

More than 63,000 people had to leave their homes after an over flow in the Swar Chaung dam in central Myanmar caused by heavy monsoon rains. At least 85 villages were flooded. Two people are missing and no deaths have been recorded. The cause of the dam’s failure is still unclear.  

Pakistan condemns  offensive cartoon contenst

August 28, 2018

The Pakistani government officially condemned an upcoming Prophet Muhammad cartoon contest announced by the Dutch politician Geert Wilders in June. Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan plans to work with other Muslim countries to introduce a policy at the United Nations General Assembly in September. The physical depiction of Prophet Muhammad is offensive for many Muslims. Previous drawings and cartoons have sparked angry protests throughout the Muslim world. 

Costa Rica stands with migrants

August 27, 2018

Hundreds of people marched in solidarity with Nicaraguan migrants in San Jose, Costa Rica on Saturday. The march happened just a week after anti-migrant demonstrations that ended in clashes and arrests. Since April, Costa Rica has seen an influx of at least 23,000 Nicaraguan migrants fleeing political unrest in their country. The anti-government protests in Nicaragua have caused 300 deaths till date. 

Monsoon floods kill hundreds in Kerala

August 18, 2018

Monsoon floods have killed at least 324 people in the Indian state of Kerala. Since the beginning of Monsoon season, Kerala has been hit with 37% more rainfall than average. Most deaths have been caused by landslides and flooding. More than 223,000 have been forced to find shelter in 1,568 relief camps. Operations are underway to rescue thousands still trapped by mounting floods. 

Libya sentences 45 to death

August 17, 2018

45 people in Libya have been sentenced to death by firing squad for killing anti-Gaddafi demonstrators in the capital Tripoli during the 2011 uprising. Another 54 people were sentenced to 5 years in prison. This is the highest numbers of death sentences since the regime overthrow during the Arab Spring. 

Aretha Franklin dies

August 16, 2018

“Queen of Soul” Aretha Franklin has died at 76. Her career spanned over 6 decades in which she won 18 Grammy awards and sold 75 million records worldwide. She was the first woman to be inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of fame.

Bridge collapse kills 22 in Italy

August 14, 2018

At least 22 people were killed after a strong storm caused a motorway bridge to collapse in Genoa, Italy. Witnesses say that at least 20 vehicles were on the bridge when it collapsed. Authorities have yet to determine the cause.

Other Work

U.S. Mission to UN condemns Algeria’s treatment of Ahmadis

06/08/2017

At the 27th session of the United Nation’s Universal Periodic Review held in Geneva, Switzerland, the United States mission to Geneva expressed its concerns over the arrest of minority Ahmadiyya Muslims in Algeria.

The U.S. representative at the session, Sheila Leonard said:

We are concerned by recent arrests of Ahmadi [AH-ma-dee] Muslims, which call into question Algeria’s respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms.

We recommend that Algeria:

1. Amend the Law on Associations to remove undue restrictions on civil society organizations.

2. Work to ensure constitutional guarantees of the inviolability of freedom of thought, conscience, and religions are carried out for all, including for Ahmadi Muslims, and provide that community with the accreditation it needs to worship openly and in compliance with Algerian law.

3. Amend Penal Code articles that punish peaceful free expression with prison terms, to conform to Algeria’s Constitution.

The United States also conveyed its concerns over the arrest of members of the independent media.

The Universal Period Review or UPR is part of the United Nation’s Human Rights Council (HRC) which aims to improve the human rights situation in the U.N. Member States. Each year, 42 states are reviewed in three sessions, which are held in January/February, May/June, and October/November. During every session, each State under review is provided with a list of recommendations which it has to implement before the next review.

This review comes after over 70 Ahmadis, including community leaders, were arrested in Algeria last year. The arrests started early 2016 but intensified in July 2016.

This article was originally published on Rabwah Times. 

The Case of Asia Bibi and Pakistan’s Treatment of Its Religious Minorities

11/30/2018

When the Supreme Court of Pakistan overturned the original verdict in the Asia Bibi case in late October, protesters flooded the streets all over the country, calling for her execution. Now they are going “house to house,” hunting her and her family. This is the Pakistan I was born in and the Pakistan that scares me.

In 2010, a Christian woman named Aasiya Noreen, commonly known as Asia Bibi, was sentenced to death by hanging in a blasphemy case. The verdict was upheld by the Lahore High Court. Bibi would have been the first person in Pakistan’s history to be executed for the crime of blasphemy against Prophet Muhammad.

She spent eight years on death row before the Supreme Court acquitted her due to insufficient evidence. This decision sparked nationwide protests by Islamist groups, with death threats sent to Bibi and the three Supreme Court justices involved in the case. A number of countries have offered Bibi asylum, but she is not allowed to leave the country.

I have experienced a flood of varying emotions as I watched all of this unfold. I was overjoyed to see Bibi regain her freedom, but I am still scared for her. Many in Pakistan still want her dead.

I am also angry about so many aspects of this case: I am angry at the law that is so vague and broad that it could keep a woman jailed on death row for eight years over the insufficient testimony of two neighbors. I am angry at the protestors calling for her execution, and I am angry at the government for negotiating with protestors, further jeopardizing Bibi’s safety by denying her leave from the country.

I also can’t help but feel sad about the eight long years that Bibi served for being a religious minority. I am sad that this is what Pakistan has become since General Zia-ul-Haq put the country under martial law in 1976 and that there are other citizens, serving time for the same ‘crime,’ whose stories will never be told.

This Pakistan scares me because, technically, Ahmadis in Pakistan commit the crime of blasphemy every single day by just existing. By all means, this community of mine belongs to Islam, but the Constitution of Pakistan declares otherwise.

Pakistan has legalized our persecution by classifying the Ahmadiyya community as a non-Muslim minority, refusing us the rights to vote, identify our houses of worship as mosques, assert ourselves as Muslims and simply exist.

Most of all, I am confused. After living in the U.S. for the past 10 years, it can be very easy to hold a fantastical, romanticized view of the country in which I was born. However, I cannot ignore my own knowledge either. I cannot pretend that this ugliness doesn’t exist in my country because I know what it means to be an Ahmadi in Pakistan, to wake up as a nine-year-old during the holy month of Ramadan to the news that eight of my community members were shot to death during morning prayer at the mosque. I know what it’s like to live a concealed life, to see my mother be forced out of a job because of our faith, to have recurring nightmares as a young boy of my throat being slit because my religious identity was discovered.

The Supreme Court may have released Bibi, but this is only the beginning of the troubles that she and others like her in the religious minority will face. Pakistan will never release the Ahmadis that have been jailed under the same law, especially when Islamist groups continue to be legitimized.

Prime Minister Imran Khan won the election earlier this year under the promise of bringing about a “naya Pakistan,” new and reformed. The youth voted him into office. It was supposed to bring about an era of tabdeeli (change) and hope, right?

I am not hopeful.

This article was originally published on Brown Girl Magazine. 


Review: Islam, Race, and Pluralism in the Pakistani Diaspora

05/29/2017

In his book, Islam, Race, and Pluralism in the Pakistani Diaspora, Dr. Craig Considine explores the experiences of several Pakistani American and Pakistani Irish men. He expertly unpacks these experiences while also being extra diligent in avoiding the notion of a singular diasporic identity and maintaining and furthering the heterogeneity present within the community. Further, these experiences are brilliantly contextualized through the compendious exploration of histories of Boston and Ireland, the settings of his research. Ultimately, the book puts an emphasis on the agency that Pakistani men in Boston and Ireland have over their response, and often resistance, to being marginalized.

Dr. Considine structures his research into 8 chapters. The first two chapters provide necessary background into his research as well as important theories that would be discussed later in the book and the last chapter provides possible solutions towards “fostering religious pluralism and interculturalism.” His interviews with Pakistani men are structured into the other five chapters, each focusing on a different theme including, but not limited to, the dichotomy of the “good” versus “bad” Muslim, and political issues such as terrorism. He also introduces the term “Pakphobia” which describes a fear of or apprehension towards Pakistani people in America and Ireland.

There are many issues Dr. Considine tackles within the book which naturally comes through from the multiplicity and pluralism present within the Pakistani community. A heavy focus is placed on the heterogeneity in the Pakistani diaspora. This is exemplified through the case studies which include a wide array of Pakistani men, differing in age, socioeconomic statuses, religions, sects, sub-ethnicities, as well as sexual orientation. There is Anwar, an Ahmadi Muslim born and raised in America, Nadeem, a self-described “devout Muslim” living in Ireland, Omar, a Salafist getting a medical degree from Boston, Maliq, a second-generation Irish Sufi, Hamayun, a 20-year old gay Muslim who spent the first 14 years of his life in Pakistan, and many more. The stories of these men prove that Pakistanis and Muslims are not members of a homogenous community. Rather, they have their own stories and their own journeys.

There is heavy complexity both in the structure and the content of the book yet Dr. Considine explains the ideas in a very accessible manner. He is, however, careful in that he does not oversimplify ideas, maintaining the truth of the ideas. He also crafts these complex ideas in such a way that it does not leave the reader overwhelmed. Pakistani people are not the only ones who would gain from this book. The book is rich with knowledge that would enlighten and expand the mind of any reader. Perhaps the best part about the creation of this book is that it comes from a place of peace and tolerance. Dr. Considine dedicates it to the “bridge builders.” This book is a profound step towards doing exactly that: building a bridge. Dr. Considine deserves high-praise for the feat he has managed to accomplish with this book.

Craig’s book which comes out on July 11th has already been endorsed Baroness Sayeeda Warsi, who is a lawyer, politician, and member of the British House of Lords:

“Considine unpicks the complex journey of identity through the lens of the Pakistani experience both in the US and Europe. Placing both belief and bigotry in context, challenging both inter and intra community tensions and using the personal accounts of individuals he humanizes the monolithic myth of ‘the Pakistani.’ An important and timely contribution by a committed bridge builder.”

Dr. Mona Siddiqui, who is a Professor of Islamic Studies and Christian-Muslim Relations at Edinburgh University also endorsed the book saying:

“Pakistani Muslims are often seen as one of the most controversial ethnic and religious groups on issues of identity and integration. In this well researched and empathetic study of Pakistani diasporas in Ireland and the US, Craig Considine has made a valuable contribution to the literature on Muslims in the West and the language of `us’ and `them’ which continues to inform the political and social narrative of citizenship.”

This article was originally published in Rabwah Times.  

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